The Oregon Department of Environmental
Quality (ODEQ) will soon decide whether or not to adopt
a Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) for Oregon. The
Department was directed to study the issue by the Oregon
Legislature by HB 2186 in 2009. That bill was adopted by
a very close vote even though the Legislature was
controlled by a Democrat supermajority at the time. Many
of us that opposed the concept in 2009 believed it was
unnecessary, probably illegal and likely to trigger an
economic chain reaction that would drive up costs, drive
out businesses and destroy jobs. The alleged purpose
of the LCFS is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by
reducing the full fuel-cycle carbon intensity of
transportation fuel used in the state. Carbon intensity
is an estimate of the total greenhouse gas emissions
related to the extraction, refinement, shipping and
consumption of a finished transportation fuel. The LCFS
would neither require the use of a specific fuel nor
establish any motor-vehicle specifications.
The concept is to reduce Oregon’s dependence on
petroleum products and to stimulate the production of
alternative low-carbon fuels such the production of
ethanol from both corn and cellulose and the production
of biodiesel. It is similar in concept to the Renewable
Portfolio Standard that requires the use of an ever
increasing percentage of renewable energy regardless of
the cost to the consumer. The LCFS too would serve to
require the use of an ever increasing percentage of
regionally produced biofuels regardless of the cost to
the consumer.
In my opinion, the adoption of a state LCFS is
unnecessary because greenhouse gas emission has little
if anything to do with global warming or climate change.
A growing number of climatologists and other learned
earth scientists are publicly stating their rejection of
the greenhouse gas theory of global warming. They are
systematically identifying scientifically reproducible
data that demonstrates the theory to be fatally flawed.
They are also advancing alternative explanations for the
modest global warming that has occurred in the past half
century. Those explanations more closely correlate with
empirical data and the stable to cooling temperature
trends currently being experienced. Moreover, even if
the greenhouse gas theory of global warming was valid,
the changes in greenhouse gas emissions contemplated by
implementing an Oregon LCFS would result in no
significant difference in global greenhouse gas
emissions.
The proposed Oregon LCFS is nearly identical to the
LCFS adopted by the state of California. That LCFS has
just been ruled unconstitutional by the United States
District Court for the Eastern District of California
(Case No. CV-F-09-2234 LJO DLB). In a summary judgment
the Court ruled that the LCFS violates the Commerce
Clause of the United States Constitution for a variety
of reasons. It only stands to reason that another U.S.
District Court would find the nearly identical proposed
Oregon LCFS equally unconstitutional.
The costs of complying with any LCFS can only result
in higher fuel costs for everyone. Compliance with a
state or regional LCFS would certainly result in an
uncompetitive business environment that would result in
out-migration of businesses and jobs. The last thing
that Oregon needs is another reason for businesses to
leave Oregon or for capital investors to further shun
the state.
Oregon is currently a national leader in biofuel
requirements even without a LCFS. The state already
mandates ten percent ethanol in each gallon of gasoline
and five percent biodiesel in every gallon of diesel
sold in Oregon. To unilaterally increase those already
strict standards would be useless and economically
dangerous. The ODEQ should make those obvious findings
and report them to the Legislature as directed.
Oregon must NOT adopt a Low Carbon Fuel Standard. Any
hope of a meaningful economic recovery depends on
avoiding the LCFS like the economic plague that it will
certainly bring to Oregon.
Please remember, if we do not stand up for rural
Oregon no one will.
Best Regards,
Doug |