Session will begin
with a Budget Bang! - Part I
NEWSLETTER by Oregon State Senator
Dennis Linthicum Senate District 28,
1/24/17
Oregon's Legislative Session starts
on February 1st and the biggest
topic will certainly be the budget.
Gov. Kate Brown released a
recommended budget last month that
has everyone in media gasping for
breath because of a $1.7 billion
shortfall.
The governor is quoted as saying,
"The budget includes significant
cuts at a level I find absolutely
unacceptable…"
I agree–the budget proposal is
unacceptable. It is unacceptable
because it merely supports the
status-quo by presenting
ever-growing government, more
regulations and increasing taxes as
the only reasonable budget
expectation.
Yet, Oregon is expected to receive
$1.5B more revenue this biennium
than last. that is an increase of
$1,500 million or $1,500,000,000
extra dollars in the state’s coffer.
The story that Oregon has a
shortfall is fiction. We have a
budget that has grown beyond any
semblance of normal.
The budget proposal has been created
by assuming that Oregon’s current
service levels or baseline of
operations should be the standard
for next year. The baseline
budgeting process starts with
current programs intact and then
adds cost of living adjustments
(COLA) combined with increases in
service level goals.
Using “baseline budgeting” ideology
as the operating standard doesn’t
identify programs that are
inefficient or unnecessary. It also
fails to address or support any
significant technological choices
that might transform the lives of
Oregonians. It only instills more of
the same for the future. This is not
how our future should be planned.
During the governor's inauguration
speech there was a reference to our
Oregon Trail heritage. The governor
said, “And we now have two
modern-day Oregon trails to choose
from. One trail is to continue the
endless process of slicing and
squeezing, of diminishing our hopes
and expectations, and shrinking our
dreams of what it means to be an
Oregonian. The other trail is to
follow the advice of Governor
McCall. To not be guided by
regionalism and factionalism.”
This is good advise.
Let me wade past the rhetoric and
imagine trying to use our
illustrious Oregon Trail heritage as
the historic baseline mark on the
landscape. Think of the
transformative technologies that
have occurred. Now, ask yourself
which of these modern technologies
you would be willing to ignore
because you were wed to the old
stuff you brought from Missouri.
Your Conestoga wagon, for example.
The reason baseline ideology can’t
properly assess the potential
efficiencies that might be gained
through alternatives is because the
baseline receives the funding not
new ideas. A requirement when
trying to address maximum
utilization from limited resources
requires flexibility in weighing and
ascertaining the value of various
approaches.
A more flexible management approach
would provide a credible rationale
for reallocating resources by
focusing on a systematic review and
justification of the funding and
performance levels in current
programs.
However, if this sounds too
complicated then let’s just drive
our wagon down the well traveled
trail of common-sense.
Since
1980, Oregon’s budget
requirements have
ballooned by
eight-fold. This means
it has doubled three
times, 2 x 2 x 2 = 8
(cf., Figure 1). In 1980
Oregon’s budget was near
$10B and today the
budget projection is
approaching $80B.
Noticing
this eight-fold growth,
let’s ask some
thoughtful questions:
-
Did our service
requirements grow by
eight-fold?
-
Did our state’s
population grow by
eight-fold since
1980?
-
Did your city’s
population grow
eight-fold?
-
Did your school
district attendance
grow by eight-fold?
-
Did your own
personal salary or
wages grow
eight-fold since
1980?
-
Did the number of
seniors living in
your community grow
by eight-fold?
-
Does your
computer/cell-phone
or TV cost
eight-fold more than
it did in 1980?
-
Did the value of
your home grow by
eight-fold?
-
Is criminal activity
in your neighborhood
up eight-fold?
Even if a
couple of these
questions come out
within a reasonable
close-call, my question
is still valid: Should
the cost of government
services have risen
eight-fold since 1980?
Please
remember--if we do not
stand up for rural
Oregon, no one will.
Best
Regards,
- Dennis
Senate
District 28
Capitol
Phone: 503-986-1728
Capitol
Address: 900 Court St.
NE, H-415, Salem, Oregon
97301
Email:
sen.DennisLinthicum@oregonlegislature.gov
Website:
http://www.oregonlegislature.gov/linthicum
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Please remember--if we do not stand up
for rural Oregon, no one will.
Best Regards,
- Dennis
Senate District 28
Capitol Phone:
503-986-1728
Capitol Address: 900
Court St. NE, H-415, Salem, Oregon 97301
Email:
sen.DennisLinthicum@oregonlegislature.gov
Website:
http://www.oregonlegislature.gov/linthicum |