Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife bulletin
2/12/10 Table of Contents
* Proposed Order Calls For 3-Month Remand To Strengthen BiOp/Adaptive
Management Plan
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376649.aspx
* Spring Chinook Fishing Will Be Held Back In Lower River To
Ensure Enough Fish Go Upriver
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376648.aspx
* Oregon Gillnet Ban Sponsors Won't Be Collecting Signatures On
State's Revised Ballot Title
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376647.aspx
* Study Finds High Rate Of Juvenile Steelhead Mortality In Rivers'
Estuaries
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376646.aspx
* Preseason Forecast Has Columbia Coho Ocean Abundance At Only 37
Percent Of Last Year's Big Run
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376645.aspx
* New Power Plan Says 85 Percent Of Electricity Demand Next 20
Years Can Be Met With Efficiency
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376644.aspx
* How Does The Sixth Power Plan Impact Columbia Basin Fish And
Wildlife Mitigation?
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376643.aspx
* What Does Council's Sixth Power Plan Say About Removing Four
Lower Snake Dams?
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376641.aspx
* High Catch Rates, Angler Effort Has White Sturgeon Fishing Above
Bonneville Closing Early
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376640.aspx
* States Likely To Reduce Lower Columbia White Sturgeon Harvest By
35-45 Percent
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376639.aspx
* Low Snowpack Makes Experimental Spill For Sturgeon At Libby Dam
Uncertain
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376638.aspx
* British Columbia Says No To Mining, Oil, Gas Development In
Flathead Valley
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376637.aspx
------------------------------
* Proposed Order Calls For 3-Month Remand To Strengthen BiOp/Adaptive
Management Plan
U.S. District Court Judge James A. Redden this week offered the
government the opportunity to shore up its plan for protecting
salmon and steelhead stocks that migrate through Columbia-Snake
river dams and reservoirs.
He urged federal agencies to "seize this opportunity to produce a
stronger RPA/AMIP," referring to NOAA Fisheries' May 2008 Federal
Columbia River Power System biological opinion "reasonable and
prudent alternative" and an addendum, the "Adaptive Management
Implementation Plan," issued in September 2009.
Redden, in a Feb. 10 memo to participants in litigation
challenging the 2008 BiOp, suggested that he order a three-month
"voluntary" remand so that the strategy could be legally be
supplemented with the addition of the AMIP and associated
materials and with the best available science and biological
analysis now available.
"The court finds that due to the length of the previous remand,
complexity of the existing litigation, and the significant effort
by all of the parties throughout this case, there is good cause to
allow a limited, voluntary remand," the judge said in a proposed
order, also dated Feb. 10.
"I am not satisfied with Federal Defendants' narrow proposed order
of voluntary remand," Redden said of a Dec. 22 document filed with
the court by the U.S. Department of Justice. It suggested the
judge order a 10-day remand for "the sole consideration of
integrating the Adaptive Management Implementation Plan and its
administrative record into the administrative records for the 2008
Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion."
"Federal Defendants are free to disregard the court's suggestions
and simply insert the AMIP into the 2008 BiOp," Redden said in the
memo issued Wednesday. "Plaintiffs will, of course, have an
opportunity to challenge the validity of an amended/supplemental
biological opinion.
"If Federal Defendants conduct a superficial, ten-day remand (as
they have proposed), I will view that final agency decision with
heightened skepticism," the judge said. Defendants in the lawsuit
are NOAA Fisheries Service and the dams' operators, the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation.
"There are two options. Pursuant to the attached proposed order,
Federal Defendants can conduct a voluntary remand using the best
available science and addressing all relevant factors," Redden
said. "Alternatively, Federal Defendants can reject the proposed
order, and I will issue a ruling on the validity of the 2008 BiOp
without consideration of the AMIP."
Redden set Feb. 19 as the deadline for a federal response to his
memo and proposed voluntary remand order.
BiOps are required to evaluate whether federal actions, such as
the dam operations, jeopardize the survival of salmon and
steelhead stocks that are listed under the Endangered Species Act.
The 2008 FCRPS BiOp's RPA outlines actions to be taken within the
hydro system and off-site, such as habitat improvement, that aim
to improve salmon survival.
The 2008 BiOp was immediately challenged by a coalition of fishing
and conservation groups and by the state of Oregon. They said the
measures prescribed in the BiOP and its RPA are inadequate to
mitigate for hydro system impacts the fish and that the agencies
biological "jeopardy" analysis is flawed.
The AMIP was produced by the Obama Administration after extensive
review of the 2008 FCRPS BiOp over this past summer. The review
included consideration of concerns about the BiOp expressed by the
judge in a May 18 letter.
That letter said Redden had "serious concerns" about the agencies'
trending toward recovery jeopardy analysis framework and that the
BiOp's "conclusion that all 13 species are, in fact, on a 'trend
toward recovery' is arbitrary and capricious."
He asked the federal agencies to "consider implementing some, or
all, of the following measures as part of the adaptive management
process:
"-- committing additional funds to estuary and tributary habitat
mitigation, monitoring, and identifying specific tributary and
estuary habitat improvement projects beyond December 2009;
"-- providing periodic reports to the court, and allowing for
independent scientific oversight of the tributary and estuary
habitat mitigation actions;
"-- committing additional flow to both the Columbia and Snake
Rivers;
"-- developing a contingency plan to study specific, alternative
hydro actions, such as flow augmentation and/or reservoir
drawdowns, as well as what it will take to breach the lower Snake
River dams if all other measures fail (i. e., independent
scientific evaluation, permitting, funding, and congressional
approval); and
"-- continuing ISAB's recommended spring and summer spill
operations throughout the life of the BiOp."
Administration officials last fall said they had determined that
the science underlying the BiOp is fundamentally sound, but that
there are uncertainties in some predictions regarding the future
condition of the listed species. As a result the AMIP -- called an
"insurance policy for the fish" -- was developed to add
contingency measures to be implemented in case of a significant
decline in fish abundance. The plan also improves on efforts to
track and detect climate change and its effects on listed species
and other uncertainties that could emerge over the 10-year life of
the biological opinion.
Redden soon questioned whether the AMIP could be considered as he
mulled the legality of the 2008 BiOp. His Wednesday memo called
the plan "a positive development.
"Federal Defendants deserve credit for developing additional
mitigation measures, enhanced research, monitoring and evaluation
actions, new biological triggers, and contingency actions to
address some of the flaws in the 2008 BiOp.
"The AMIP, however, is not part of the Administrative Record, and
it does not fall into any exception to the record-review rule"
established in the Administrative Procedures Act.
"Federal Defendants must formally incorporate the AMIP into a
final agency decision before I can consider it in evaluating the
2008 BiOp," Redden said.
But that cannot be accomplished as simply as the federal agencies
suggest, he said.
"They must also include new and pertinent scientific information
relating to the proposed action (e.g., recent climate change
data). If that scientific data requires additional analysis or
mitigation to avoid jeopardy, Federal Defendants must adequately
address those issues," Redden wrote. "I will not sign an order of
voluntary remand that effectively relieves Federal Defendants of
their obligation to use the best available science and consider
all important aspects of the problem.
"They need not 'start over from scratch,' or develop a new
jeopardy framework," Redden said. "Federal Defendants should do
more. Indeed, they have acknowledged that they can do more.
Federal Defendants should re-examine the court's previous concerns
regarding the lack of specificity and certainty (i. e., funding)
in both the 2008 BiOp/RPA and the AMIP. I also encourage them to
consider some of the parties' suggestions for improving the AMIP."
For more information and documents relating to BiOp litigation go
to www.salmonrecovery.gov
------------------------------------
* Spring Chinook Fishing Will Be Held Back In Lower River To
Ensure Enough Fish Go Upriver
Despite estimates of a 2010 upriver spring chinook salmon run that
will be the best ever, non-tribal anglers and gill-netters in the
lower Columbia River will be held in check to some degree until
managers know that that dream run is indeed building.
Seasons will be opened soon. But a portion the overall lower river
allocation -- the percentage of the run that can be harvested --
will be held in reserve until a preseason run-size forecast can be
updated with actual fish counts of spring chinook passing up and
over Bonneville Dam.
The Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission was briefed on the
upcoming Columbia River spring chinook season during its meeting
last week.
Managers are predicting 470,000 upriver spring chinook will return
to the Columbia River basin this year. That would be the biggest
return on a record dating back to 1938.
The 2010 non-tribal sport and commercial fishing seasons for
spring chinook on the Columbia mainstem will be set at a joint
state/Columbia River Compact meeting on Feb. 18.
In anticipation of that meeting, the OFWC last week directed staff
to look at recreational and commercial fisheries that will provide
opportunity early in the season, last as long as possible, and
minimize closures and re-openings.
The OFWC also supported using a 40 percent buffer in calculating
the number of fish available for harvest. The holding back of a
certain share of the allowed lower river harvest allocation is
intended to assure that a proper share of the upriver spring run
makes it past Bonneville Dam. The upriver run includes stocks that
originate from hatcheries and tributary spawning grounds above
Bonneville.
The Oregon policy makers did not consider specific season options,
but were briefed on possible scenarios ranging from a 56-day
season entirely below Portland's Interstate 5 Bridge to a 30-day
season with a mix of opportunities above and below the I-5 Bridge.
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife fishery managers also
last week outlined their plans for the spring chinook fishery on
the Columbia River that would ensure meeting conservation goals,
catch-balancing responsibilities between tribal and state
fisheries, and fishing opportunities throughout the river and its
tributaries.
The Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission during its Feb. 4-6
meeting also voiced support for reserving a portion of the catch
until there is clear evidence the run is as large as expected.
Washington's commission asked staff to maximize fishing
opportunities for spring chinook on the Columbia River and ensure
more salmon return to upriver fisheries, while meeting
conservation measures.
Lower Columbia spring chinook fisheries will be guided by
Endangered Species Act considerations as well as the need to
strike the equitable "catch balance" referred to by the state
commissions.
Such sharing of upriver fish with above-Bonneville interests such
as four treaty tribes and the state of Idaho is required under the
terms of a 10-year management agreement signed in 2008 by the
tribes, three Northwest states and the federal government. The
agreement was developed through the U.S. v Oregon legal process.
If a look back shows that "catch balance expectations are widely
divergent," the agreement requires that the parties to the lawsuit
to meet and discuss modifications to the upriver spring chinook
catch guidelines.
The non-Indian catch of upriver chinook was considerably greater
in both 2008 and 2009 than the level of harvest called for in the
agreement. The non-Indian sport and commercial harvest in 2008
also exceeded allowed ESA "impacts" -- the mortality absorbed by
listed wild Upper Columbia and Snake River spring chinook stocks.
The management agreement, which was also approved by NOAA
Fisheries as ESA-compliant, establishes harvest levels and impact
limits based on the predicted size of the upriver spring chinook
run. Bigger harvests and impacts are allowed in years with higher
anticipated returns.
During meetings last year held to set lower river sport and
commercial fisheries, tribal members urged state officials to take
a conservative approach in setting early season. And Idaho's fish
and game commission expressed concern about lower river fisheries
harvesting too large of a share early-timed chinook returns bound
for Idaho hatcheries.
Oregon and Washington managers have been plagued in recent years
by a spring chinook forecasting system that has gone awry. Both in
2008 and 2009 the spring chinook arrived later and in much smaller
numbers than had been forecast in the preseason.
As a result, March and early to mid-April harvests in the lower
Columbia quickly consumed harvests allowances and impacts. Run
forecast updates can't be done until the very end of April or
early May when, typically, about 50 percent of the upriver spring
chinook will have been counted passing over Bonneville Dam.
Since a catch balance was not achieved in the first two years of
the agreement, the U.S. v Oregon parties came back to the table as
required to develop new guidelines for 2010-2012.
The states decided that, until an updated forecast is in hand, it
will manage the lower river fisheries in 2010 for a run size that
is at least 30 percent less than the preseason forecast.
As an example, if the preseason forecast was for an upriver return
of 300,000 fish, a 2.2 percent ESA impact limit would be in place
for non-tribal fisheries and the allowed harvest would be up to
32,400 spring chinook. But under the new guideline, early season
fishing in the lower river would be managed as if the run forecast
was 210,000 upriver spring chinook and the impact limit was 1.9
percent with an estimated harvest of only 19,100 fish.
That means lower river fisheries could well be ended earlier than
desired to await the date of the run-size forecast update. If the
update brings good news, fisheries could be reopened.
------------------------------
* Oregon Gillnet Ban Sponsors Won't Be Collecting Signatures On
State's Revised Ballot Title
Advocates of a mainstem Columbia River gillnet ban say they will
go back to the drawing board, disappointed with changes made to
their Oregon ballot initiative proposal made by the state Attorney
General's Office.
The initiative proposal, dubbed the Protect Our Salmon Act, was
submitted to the Oregon Office of the Secretary of State's
Elections Division on Dec. 30 with goal of getting the measure on
the Nov. 2 general election ballot. It aimed to win voter approval
of a ban on gillnets in Oregon waters, effectively the lower
Columbia mainstem.
The chief initiative petitioners are state Sens. Fred Girod,
R-Stayton, and Rod Monroe, D-Portland and David Schamp, chairman
of the Coastal Conservation Association's Oregon chapter board of
directors.
The draft ballot title includes a 15-word caption, brief
explanation of what "yes" and "no" votes on the measure would mean
and a summary produced by the state Attorney General's Office and
endorsed by the Secretary of State.
That draft ballot title caption said: Bans Oregon salmon fishing
with gillnets; redirects license surcharges to fund changing to
alternative methods.
After a public review period and a 10-day period that allowed the
state agencies to review comments and pertinent legal statues, a
certified ballot title, drafted by the AG's office and approved by
the Secretary of State, was unveiled Tuesday.
The new "certified" ballot title caption says: Bans Columbia River
commercial salmon/sturgeon fishing; redirects habitat restoration
funds to new commission's control.
The certified ballot title is open to appeal to the Oregon Supreme
Court for 10 business days, until Feb. 24. Then, if no petition is
filed with the court, the proposal's sponsors could begin
collecting the 82,769 signatures needed to get the measure on the
2010 general election ballot.
The signatures would have to be filed Elections Division by July
2.
But the petitioners have decided to let the proposal languish.
"We do not intend to move forward" with an effort to collect
signatures on the existing ballot proposal, CCA spokesman Bryan
Irwin said.
A Feb. 9 letter from the Oregon Department of Justice summarizes
comments received regarding the draft ballot title, the
department's response to those comments "and the reasons why we
altered or declined to alter the ballot title in response to the
comments."
A key change from draft to final ballot title is the elimination
of the word gillnet from the caption. Several of the comments
noted that the draft ballot title was inaccurate because it did
not make plain the fact that a gillnet ban is, in effect, a
complete ban on commercial fishing. Commercial fishing for salmon
or sturgeon in the Columbia River by non-Indians is illegal unless
they are caught by gillnets, the letter says in citing state law.
"We agree that the caption does not state the 'principal effect'
or inform potential signers of the 'sweep of the measure' because
it does not make plain that IP #74 [the proposed statutory
amendment] would ban commercial fishing for salmon and sturgeon in
the Columbia River. Accordingly, we made changes to the caption to
reflect that fact," the letter says.
And the proposed ballot initiative does nothing to solve that
dilemma, the letter says.
"It is true that IP #74, Section 15(4) is apparently meant to
define 'alternative selective commercial fishing methods.' However
-- even assuming it does define those methods -- defining them
does not make them legal, and nothing in IP #74 purports to
legalize those alternative methods."
That change, and others, veers from the proponents' course.
"The changes made by the Attorney General's office do not reflect
the intent of the initiative, which is to end the non-selective
over-harvest of Oregon's native fish runs while maintaining a
healthy commercial salmon fishing industry," Schamp said in a
statement released today. "The objective is to transition to
commercial gear capable of selectively harvesting abundant
hatchery fish and allowing for the release of wild fish."
"Now more than ever, CCA members remain committed to advancing
these vital reform efforts, and we intend to amend and re-file the
ballot initiative to address the interpretation of the Attorney
General's office," Schamp said.
The final ballot title summary statement was also changed in
response to comments. In all, nine comments were received
including seven from commercial fishing interests. Comments were
also filed by Paul Lumley, executive director of the Columbia
River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission, and Kevin Mannix, who
represented the ballot initiative petitioners. CRITFC represents
four treaty tribes that fish the lower Columbia.
The AG office's letter noted its response to comments about the
potential impact the proposed gillnet ban might have on fishery
management on the Columbia. Mannix' comments argued that the
summary statement incorrectly states that measure's effect on the
Columbia River Compact and fishery management agreements between
the federal government, tribes and states "is unclear." He said
that the Compact and agreements would be unaffected.
The Compact regulates tribal and non-Indian commercial fishing on
the mainstem Columbia along the Oregon-Washington border. The
panel includes representatives of the directors of the Oregon and
Washington departments of fish and wildlife.
"We agree that the restriction such as IP #74 would enact does not
violate the Compact. We agree that the Columbia River Compact
would remain in effect and, on its face, IP #74 does not change
it," the Feb. 9 letter says. "Whether IP #74's restrictions would
violate the Columbia River Compact, or whether it would violate
tribal fishing rights, is an issue that would likely be decided by
the courts and we decline to speculate here on the outcome. To
clarify that IP #74 does not purport to change the Columbia River
Compact we delete the reference to it."
Mannix also said that the measure, if implemented, would not
affect management agreements, such as the 10-year agreement
between CRITFC's four treaty tribes, the federal government and
the states of Idaho, Oregon and Washington. Lumley argued that the
gillnet ban could affect implementation of the management
agreement and alter annual fishing seasons for tribal members.
"After reviewing the August 2008 management agreement (and
amendments), we cannot say that there would be no effect on the
agreement," the AG office said. "Although it is not possible to
predict how the management agreement would change, there is little
doubt that, if the numbers of fish caught by the commercial
fishermen were removed from the calculus, the limits on fish
caught by the remaining parties would necessarily have to be
readjusted, thus requiring renegotiation of the management
agreement. Accordingly we reject Mannix's argument."
The AG's office also declined requests by Lumley and others that
the ballot title make plain the fact that the ballot measure
intends to exempt tribal fishing from the gill-net ban. The letter
said the measure's proponents may have intended such an exemption,
"however, as drafted, we believe that IP#74's ban applies to
tribal harvest of salmon, sturgeon and steelhead by gillnets."
The proposed measure makes "circular" references to such an
exemption but "does not contain terms that we can say clearly
exempt Indian tribes from its prohibitions. Moreover, we cannot
speculate on the likely outcome of court cases interpreting the
extent of IP #74's ban. Accordingly, we believe the current
explanation best identifies the measure's effects as it is
drafted."
---------------------------
* Study Finds High Rate Of Juvenile Steelhead Mortality In Rivers'
Estuaries
A new study by researchers at Oregon State University found that
up to nearly half of the ocean-bound juvenile steelhead surveyed
in two Oregon river systems appear to have died when they reached
the estuaries -- before they could reach the ocean.
The scientists aren't sure if such a mortality rate in the estuary
is typical or elevated due to increased predation -- most likely
by marine mammals or seabirds. One goal of their research is to
begin establishing better baseline data on juvenile salmon and
steelhead mortality so resource managers can make more accurate
predictions on runs of returning adult fish.
"A female steelhead may lay 2,000 to 5,000 eggs -- and in rare
cases, more than 10,000 eggs -- and for the population to remain
stable, at least 2-3 percent of the juveniles migrating to the
ocean have to survive and return as adults," said Carl Schreck, a
professor of fisheries and wildlife at OSU and leader of the
Oregon Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit on campus. "If
you get much more than that, it's a banner year.
"But it's hard to predict adult returns if you don't have good
data on outgoing juveniles," Schreck said, "and this study is an
effort to make that monitoring more precise."
Declining salmon and steelhead runs have been blamed on everything
from habitat loss through logging to housing developments on
coastal rivers, but the consensus has been that ocean conditions
are perhaps the single most important element in how robust the
populations may be in a given year.
Yet the OSU study found that mortality is significant before the
fish even make it to the Pacific Ocean, said David Noakes, a
professor of fisheries and wildlife at OSU and one of the
principal investigators in the study.
"Steelhead will live in the fresh water for one to two years and
then migrate out to the ocean where they'll spend another two or
three years," Noakes said. "If only 2-3 percent survive, it would
be interesting to know what the keys to survival may be for the
select few. Are the biggest juveniles more likely to survive? The
fastest? Those that have the fewest parasites? Is there something
in their genetics that better helps some of them adapt to the new
saltwater environment?
"We need to determine what the so-called 'normal' predation rates
are in the estuary, and get a better handle on what is killing the
fish," he said.
In their study, the OSU researchers inserted small ultrasonic
transmitters into 280 juvenile steelhead over a two-year period.
The dollar bill-sized fish were captured in traps at sites on the
middle stretches of the Alsea and Nehalem river systems, tagged
and measured, and then released back into the rivers and tracked
on their way to the ocean. About nine out of 10 fish made it
safely from the release point to tidewater, and then the
ultrasound transmissions from 50 to 60 percent of those survivors
abruptly stopped when they reached the estuary.
The scientists received enough signals from surviving fish to know
that it wasn't a failure in signal transmission. And, Schreck
says, during an earlier study using tags that broadcast a radio
frequency, they recovered transmitters from a cormorant rookery
near the mouth of the Nehalem River, and have tracked signals from
the tags to a burgeoning seal population -- also near the
Nehalem's mouth.
"There are a lot of seals right near the mouths of both rivers and
seals can eat a lot of young fish," Schreck said. "It's why the
steelhead need thousands of eggs to keep the population going."
One other possible explanation for the high mortality, Noakes
said, is that the young fish couldn't handle the transition from
fresh to saltwater. Salmon, steelhead and other "anadromous" fish
have a complex life cycle and for centuries have utilized both the
ocean and river systems. But a high mortality rate might be normal
and a way to weed out weak fish that can't make the adaptation to
a new environment.
"We know that fish need a number of things to trigger their
migration to the ocean, including the amount of seasonal light,
certain temperatures, enough water flow, etc.," Noakes said. "But
we don't know why some fish remain in the river for one year
before heading out to sea, and others stay for two years. Just
preparing to go from fresh water to a salt water environment
requires an enormous adjustment.
"There may be something about that adaptation that contributes to
the mortality," he added.
If the mortality rate of juvenile steelhead is atypical, it could
be increasing because of some environmental factor -- warmer
water, more parasites, chemical contaminants, or higher
acidification of ocean waters coming into the estuary, for
example.
Or predation may be higher because of more seals, sea lions and
seabirds.
Much of the research about steelhead migration, spawning behavior
and basic biology is emerging from studies done at the Oregon
Hatchery Research Center, a joint venture between OSU's Department
of Fisheries and Wildlife, and the Oregon Department of Fish and
Wildlife. Located on Fall Creek, a tributary of the Alsea River,
the research center is giving fish biologists unprecedented new
looks at the physiology and behavior of steelhead.
-------------------
* Preseason Forecast Has Columbia Coho Ocean Abundance At Only 37
Percent Of Last Year's Big Run
The ocean abundance of Columbia River coho is expected to be
389,500 fish this year, or about 37 percent of 2009's post-season
total calculation of just over 1 million, according to a preseason
forecast produced by the Oregon Production Index technical team.
"We used jacks to predict" 2010 adult coho abundance, the
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife's Cindy LeFleur said of
the practice of forecasting one year's run based on the previous
year's return of one-ocean fish. Jacks are coho that return to the
Columbia after only one year in the Pacific Ocean while most
spawners return after two years.
There were an estimated 24,000 coho jacks that returned to the
Columbia in 2009, well below the 1999-2008 annual average of
34,000, LeFleur said.
The jack return to the mouth of the river was 58,000 in 2008. That
total prompted an ocean abundance forecast of 1,042,400 Columbia
River coho in 2009. That forecast proved spot-on. The post-season
ocean abundance estimate was 1,055,500.
The 10-year average ocean abundance is 609,600 Columbia River
coho, which includes "early" and "late" stocks. Ocean harvests
whittle down the number of coho so the actual return to the river
is always smaller than the ocean abundance forecast.
Coho ocean abundance can vary greatly from year to year. The peak
during that 1999-2008 span was 1.3 million fish in 2001 and the
low was 295,600 in 1999.
The 2009 forecast for the coho return to the Columbia River mouth,
(following expected ocean fisheries), was 703,100 adults, which
included 466,600 early stock and 236,500 late stock. The actual
return fell just a few fish short. The most recent 10-year average
return to the river is 508,300 fish.
The 2010 forecast, which includes 245,300 early stock and 144,200
late stock fish, is similar to the 2005 and 2006 abundance
estimates. They resulted in minimum estimated return to the river
of 339,900 coho in 2005 and 386,600 in 2005.
Most of the Columbia River coho spawners originate from Oregon and
Washington hatcheries downstream from Bonneville Dam, although
substantial hatchery production also occurs above Bonneville Dam.
In recent years, approximately one-third of the releases have
occurred above Bonneville Dam.
The lower river fish make up the Columbia River stock most
recently added to the Endangered Species Act list. The Lower
Columbia River coho were identified as threatened on June 28,
2005. The "evolutionarily significant unit" includes all naturally
spawned populations of coho salmon in the Columbia River and its
tributaries in Washington and Oregon, from the mouth of the
Columbia up to and including the Big White Salmon and Hood rivers,
and includes the Willamette River to Willamette Falls, Oregon, as
well as the product of 25 artificial propagation programs.
Fin-clipped hatchery fish are exempt from ESA "take" provision and
offered up for harvest.
The ESA review concluded that there are only two extant
populations in the Lower Columbia River coho ESU with appreciable
natural production (the Clackamas and Sandy river populations in
Oregon), from an estimated 23 historical populations in the ESU.
--------------------------
* New Power Plan Says 85 Percent Of Electricity Demand Next 20
Years Can Be Met With Efficiency
A new regional power plan adopted this week by the Northwest Power
and Conservation Council says 85 percent of the new demand for
electricity over the next 20 years in the Northwest can be met by
using energy more efficiently.
The plan's target for the first five years, 1,200 average
megawatts, is the energy equivalent of the power use of a city the
size of Seattle. Over time, the energy-efficiency target in the
plan -- 5,900 average megawatts over 20 years -- would be the most
aggressive regional target in the nation.
Investments in energy-efficient equipment and products will cost
less than half as much as buying electricity from new power
plants, saving consumers millions of dollars, says the Council's
power plan which can be found at
www.nwcouncil.org
Additionally, investments in energy efficiency will reduce
greenhouse gas emissions from the region's power supply by 17
million tons per year by 2030 and create as many as 47,000 new
jobs in the Northwest, according to calculations by the Council
staff.
"With its emphasis on energy efficiency, the plan enhances the
benefits we already enjoy in the Northwest from our extensive
hydropower system, which is low-cost and carbon-free," said
Council Chair Bruce Measure of Montana.
Energy efficiency and carbon-emissions control are at the heart of
the Sixth Northwest Power Plan, a regional energy blueprint
developed by the Council that guides the region's largest
electricity supplier, the federal Bonneville Power Administration.
Under federal law, the Council revises the 20-year plan every five
years. The Council approved the latest, sixth, revision of the
plan following more than two years of work that included extensive
public participation and comment. While Bonneville implements the
plan, the plan also serves as a reference document for the
region's electric utilities in their own planning.
The plan recommends that in addition to energy efficiency, future
demand for power be met with renewable energy -- mainly wind --
plus new natural gas-fired turbines in areas where demand grows
rapidly and utilities need new generating plants in addition to
renewable power and efficiency improvements. Natural gas is
preferred because it produces fewer greenhouse-gas emissions than
coal. The plan anticipates no new coal-fired power plants over the
20-year planning horizon.
The plan assesses the risks and costs associated with carbon
emissions from the regional power supply.
It says three things must happen in order to meet existing
regional and state carbon-reduction targets for the year 2030: 1)
acquire 5,900 average megawatts of energy efficiency, which is key
to reducing carbon emissions; 2) meet renewable-energy portfolio
standards adopted in three of the four Northwest states, which
will displace power plants that burn fossil fuels; and 3) reduce
the future use of existing coal-fired power plants by half
compared to present-day use.
In addition, hydropower generation must be preserved as much as
possible within the limits of legal requirements to protect fish
and wildlife.
Energy efficiency in the plan is responsible for reducing carbon
emissions from regional generating plants by a total of 17 million
tons per year by 2030. Failure to achieve the efficiency
improvements in the plan will increase both the cost and risk of
the power system.
The plan says investment in energy efficiency creates jobs, both
through direct installation of efficiency measures and indirectly
over time through lower energy bills. The Council's staff
estimates that, on average, the annual investment in energy
efficiency envisioned in the power plan will create about 3,500
new jobs per year in the energy and energy-services industries.
With sustained investment in conservation over the next 20 years,
the region can expect an additional net increase of 43,500 jobs
throughout the economy due to the ongoing increased savings in
energy bills.
The Northwest population, says the plan, will increase from about
13 million today to 16.7 million by 2030, and load (the ongoing
power requirement) will increase from about 21,000 average
megawatts today to about 28,000 average megawatts by 2030, an
increase of about 7,000 average megawatts overall or about 1.4
percent (about 339 average megawatts) per year.
The Northwest electricity system faces huge challenges:
uncertainty about future climate-change policy, fuel prices,
salmon-recovery actions, economic growth, and integration of
variable wind power. Energy efficiency is the most cost-effective
and least risky resource to meet future demand.
The resource strategy in the plan includes five specific
recommendations:
--- Develop cost-effective energy efficiency aggressively -- at
least 1,200 average megawatts by 2015, and equal or slightly
higher amounts every five years through 2030.
--- Develop cost-effective renewable energy as required by state
laws, particularly wind power, accounting for its variable output.
--- Improve power-system operating procedures to integrate wind
power and improve the efficiency and flexibility of the power
system.
--- Build new natural gas-fired power plants to meet local needs
for on-demand energy and back-up power, and reduce reliance on
existing coal-fired plants to help meet the power system's share
of carbon-reduction goals and policies.
--- Investigate new technologies such as the "smart-grid," new
energy-efficiency and renewable energy sources, advanced nuclear
power, and carbon sequestration.
In 2008, the region's electric utilities set an all-time record
for acquiring energy efficiency -- 235 average megawatts in one
year (as generation, enough to power more than 14,200 Northwest
homes for a year). Since 1980, more than half of the growth in
demand for electricity in the Northwest has been met with energy
efficiency.
As a result of the conservation savings, says the Council, the
region didn't have to build 8-10 new coal- or gas-fired generating
plants. This means the region emitted 15 million tons less
carbon-dioxide in 2008 alone.
The average cost of these savings to utilities has been less than
2 cents per kilowatt-hour, which is less than the roughly 3 cents
per kilowatt-hour BPA currently charges its electric-utility
customers. Energy efficiency costs about 20 percent as much as
wind power, which currently costs 8 to 12 cents per kilowatt-hour.
Because consumers didn't have to buy 4,000 average megawatts of
electricity in 2008, they paid $1.8 billion less for electricity
-- even after accounting for the cost of energy-efficiency
programs in their electric rates, says the Council.
Major sources have been home weatherization (insulation, windows),
improved efficiency in commercial lighting, improved irrigation
efficiency (fewer leaks, more efficient pumps, lower water
pressure), industrial motors, and lighting (installation of
compact fluorescent lights, particularly).
The Council says in the future large savings are expected to come
from more efficient televisions, high-performance windows, more
efficient clothes washers, water heaters, and industrial energy
use. There also is a significant potential available, says the
Council, from improving the efficiency of utility distribution
systems with better voltage management, higher-efficiency
transformers, and other utility-level improvements
-------------------------
* How Does The Sixth Power Plan Impact Columbia Basin Fish And
Wildlife Mitigation?
The Northwest Power and Conservation Council's Sixth Power Plan
says the regional power system for the next 20 years can fund
actions to benefit Columbia Basin fish and wildlife, including
salmon and steelhead runs listed under the Endangered Species Act,
while maintaining an economic, reliable energy supply.
"For the Sixth Power Plan, hydroelectric system capability is
based on fish and wildlife operations specified in the 2008
biological opinion," says the Council.
The plan also includes an analysis of the cost to Northwest energy
consumers -- rates and bills -- of removing four lower Snake River
dams that some propose should part of an effort to increase salmon
and steelhead runs in rivers and tributaries below Idaho Power's
Snake River Hells Canyon dams complex. (See story below: "What
Does Council's Sixth Power Plan Say About Removing Four Lower
Snake Dams?"
http://www.cbbulletin.com/376641.aspx)
The Council plan notes that hydroelectric operations specified for
fish and wildlife have a "sizeable impact" on power generation and
cost. It says the "power system has addressed this impact by
acquiring conservation and generating resources, by developing
resource adequacy standards, and by implementing strategies to
minimize power system emergencies and events that might compromise
fish operations."
The Northwest Power Act requires the Council to update its fish
and wildlife program before revising the power plan, and the
amended fish and wildlife program approved last year by the
Council is part of this power plan.
The power plan is required to set forth "a general scheme for
implementing conservation measures and developing resources" with
"due consideration" for, among other things, "protection,
mitigation, and enhancement of fish and wildlife and related
spawning grounds and habitat, including sufficient quantities and
qualities of flows for successful migration, survival and
propagation of anadromous fish."
On average, says the power plan, "fish and wildlife operations
reduce hydroelectric generation by about 1,200 average megawatts
relative to operation with no constraints for fish and wildlife.
This energy loss represents about 10 percent of the hydroelectric
system's firm generating capability."
The Bonneville Power Administration estimates its total financial
obligation for the Council's fish and wildlife program to be
between $750 million to $900 million per year.
The Council says the regional power system can absorb the cost of
actions intended to benefit fish and wildlife while maintaining an
economic and reliable energy supply.
The plan, however, says the Council "recognizes the need to better
identify and analyze long-term uncertainties that affect all
elements of fish and power operations."
The Council is proposing the creation of a public forum, "which
would bring together power planners and fish and wildlife managers
to explore ways to address these uncertainties. Long-term planning
issues include climate change, alternative fish and wildlife
operations, modifications to treaties affecting the hydroelectric
system, and the integration of variable-output resources, in
particular how they affect system flexibility and capacity."
The forum, says the power plan would provide an opportunity to
identify "synergies that may exist between power and fish
operations and to explore ways of taking advantage of those
situations."
The power plan says the current basin hydroelectric system has a
capacity of about 33,000 megawatts, "but it operates at about a 50
percent annual capacity factor because of limited water supply and
storage. The Northwest's power supply must be sufficient to
accommodate increased demand during a sustained cold snap, heat
wave or the temporary loss of a generating resource. The
hydroelectric system provides up to 24,000 megawatts of
sustainable peaking capacity, for the six highest load hours of a
day over a consecutive three-day period.
"These assumptions for the annual and hourly capability of the
hydroelectric system are sensitive to fish and wildlife
operations, which have changed in the past and could change in the
future.
"There remain a number of uncertainties surrounding these
operations, which could have both positive and negative effects.
For example, spillway weirs offer the potential to reduce bypass
spill while providing the same or better passage survival. Climate
change has the potential to alter river flows, which affect both
power production and fish survival. Dam removal or operating
reservoirs at lower elevations would further reduce power
production."
-------------------
* What Does Council's Sixth Power Plan Say About Removing Four
Lower Snake Dams?
In its Sixth Power Plan, The Northwest Power and Conservation
Council ran a modeling scenario examining the effects of removing
the lower Snake River dams on power system costs and carbon
emissions.
The Council analysis focuses on the need for replacement resources
for the assumed loss of energy and capacity provided by the dams.
The Council says "no estimate was made of the cost of replacing
the other services provided by the dams. There are many other
implications and costs of dam removal including the cost of
removing the dams, future operating cost and replacement savings,
substitution of other transportation modes for barge
transportation (including fish transportation), changes in
irrigation sources, and other factors.
"These were addressed most completely in the US Army Corps of
Engineers, Lower Snake River Juvenile Salmon Migration Feasibility
Study, 2000.
http://www.nww.usace.army.mil/lsr/ and have not been included
in this analysis."
The Council's analysis is included in Chapter 10, "Resource
Strategy" under the section "Value Of The Hydroelectric System."
http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/powerplan/6/final/Ch10_021010.pdf
The Council modeled several scenarios to show the power plan's
impacts on retail power rates and consumer's electric bills with
and without dam removal and with and without carbon penalties, or
a possible "carbon tax."
It tags 2019 as the year the dams would go out, but levels the
impact on rates and bills over the entire 20 year period. In other
words, the analysis includes 10 years in which the dams are still
in place.
Without dam removal and without a carbon penalty, retail power
rates in the period 2010-2029, under the power plan's assumptions
about conservation, would rise 0.4 percent.
With the removal of the four Lower Snake dams in 2019, retail
power rates would increase by 0.5 percent.
For consumers in the period 2010-2029, under the guidelines of
this power plan, without dam removal and without a carbon penalty,
electric bills would drop by 0.7 percent.
With dam removal and no carbon penalty, bills during this period
would drop by 0.1 percent.
The chart "Summary of Scenario Results" can be found on page 31 in
Chapter 10 at
http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/powerplan/6/final/Ch10_021010.pdf
The lower Snake River dams provide 1,110 average megawatts of
energy under average hydro conditions, about 5 percent of regional
annual electric energy needs. The dams provide 3,500 megawatts of
short-term capacity, a little more than 10 percent of the total
hydroelectric system capacity, and as part of the Automated
Generation Control System.
They also provide system reserves to maintain the reliability of
the power supply, and, says the power plan, they provide "reactive
support" for the stability of the transmission system.
"The effects of removing the capability of the lower Snake River
dams are mainly determined by the replacement resources that would
be required for the power system to duplicate the energy,
capacity, real-time load following, stability reserves and
reactive support currently provided by the Snake River dams," says
the power plan.
"Dam removal increases the carbon emissions, cost, and risk of the
power system. The projected changes to the power system to
accommodate the loss of hydroelectric capability are not a simple
energy and capacity replacement. Small increases in conservation
and renewable resources occur in this scenario, but the primary
replacement of the dams is provided by changes in the construction
of new gas-fired resources, changes in the operation of existing
and new generating plants, and changes in net exports. Existing
natural gas-fired and coal-fired generation is used more
intensively. In addition, the region exports less energy and
imports more energy. The combination of these changes makes up for
the lost 1,100 average megawatts of energy."
Replacing the lower Snake River dam energy and capacity would
result in increased carbon emissions of 3.0 million tons year, a
7.6 percent increase, says the Council.
The power plan says that 1,103 megawatts "would be required to
replace the dams with 437 average megawatts coming from carbon
producing resources, not including increased imports that would
also most likely come from carbon producing resources."
Under the dam removal scenario, says the Council, annual cost of
the power system increases in 2020 by over $530 million dollars.
"Further, since the Lower Snake River dams serve Bonneville
public-utility customers, those utilities and their consumers
would bear the cost increases. Using a rate-making rule of thumb
that a $65 million to $80 million cost increase translates into a
$1 per megawatt-hour increase in Bonneville rates, a $530 million
increase in Bonneville costs would raise rates by between $6.60
and $8.15 per megawatt-hour. Based on Bonneville's priority firm
rate of $28 per megawatt-hour, dam removal would cause an increase
of 24 percent to 29 percent."
----------------------
* High Catch Rates, Angler Effort Has White Sturgeon Fishing Above
Bonneville Closing Early
High catch rates and angler effort have made short work of the
2010 white sturgeon sport season in the Bonneville Dam pool
despite a doubling of the allowed harvest in the Columbia River
reservoir.
Typically the season, which starts with the New Year, stretches
into July before the sport harvest allocation is consumed. This
year it will be closed at the end of the day Feb. 21, despite the
fact that that harvest allocation was boosted from 700 sturgeon in
2009 to 1,400 this year. Oregon and Washington fish and wildlife
department officials estimate that sport fishers will have caught
1,382 sturgeon through Saturday of next week if they continue at
the current catch rate.
The earliest previous closing date, going back to at least 2000,
was June 5 last year.
Treaty tribes have also swept in their commercial allocation much
more quickly than anticipated. Their commercial gillnet fishery in
Bonneville Pool closed at 6 p.m. Thursday.
Warmer than average January and early February air temperatures
and "warmer water temperatures have resulted in an increase in the
catch rates and in the effort too," John North of the Oregon
Department of Fish and Wildlife told a joint state sport fishing
panel Wednesday. That panel, comprised of the ODFW's Steve
Williams and the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife's Guy
Norman, voted to implement the Bonneville pool sport closure. The
states jointly manage sport and commercial fisheries on the
mainstem Columbia where the river is a shared border.
The effort grew like a snowball heading down a steep hill, from 78
angler trips during the first week of January, to 343 the second
week, to 411, and then 579 during the last week in January. The
number of angler trips climbed to 849 during the first week in
February.
"We considered that probably a record," North said of last week's
estimate of angler trips targeting sturgeon.
"Word got out," North said of the growing crowd of sturgeon
seekers heading to Bonneville pool. The catch rates have been much
greater than normal, in some instances as high as nearly half a
fish per angler trip. ODFW sampling of 30 boats last week showed a
catch of 20 legal size sturgeon.
"It's definitely well above what we typically see" during the
winter-spring seasons, though summer rates can approach those
levels, the WDFW's Brad James told the panel.
The agencies estimate that 390 white sturgeon were caught during
1,411 angler trips in January. That compares to an estimated 382
angler trips and a catch of just 17 fish during January 2009.
The sturgeon harvest through Feb. 7 had grown to 790 fish, which
represents 56 percent of the 1,400-fish Bonneville pool guideline.
The high catch rates "are confirmation of our increased abundance
estimates," Norman said. The agencies do population estimates and
surveys for each of the three lower Columbia reservoirs
(Bonneville, The Dalles and John Day) on a three-year rotation.
For the Bonneville pool, the estimated of legal-size (eligible for
harvest) sturgeon jumped from 6,900 in 2003 and 6,200 in 2006 to
29,600 in 2009, North said. The white sturgeon technical work
group that helps produce the population size estimates theorizes
that perhaps the extreme high-water year of 1996 enabled an
extremely successful spawning season. The 12 years that have since
elapsed is about the time needed for sturgeon to grow into the
legal size range, North said.
Sturgeon spawners like river reaches with rocky substrate and fast
moving flows. That doesn't happen except in high flow years in the
lower Columbia, where controlled downstream flows, tides and
Willamette River input make the river more languid.
High levels of spring runoff "create conditions that sturgeon like
in a larger area," below Bonneville, North said.
The catch has also been good for tribal commercial fishers in the
Bonneville pool. Their catch through Feb. 8 totaled 1,020 white
sturgeon. Tribal commercial fisheries continue in the John Day and
The Dalles pools.
Sport retention of sturgeon in The Dalles and John Day pools will
remain in effect per current regulations. Staff will continue to
track the progress of the ongoing fisheries in The Dalles
(300-fish allocation) and John Day (135) pools and provide an
update next week.
The Columbia River Compact/Joint State meeting is scheduled at 10
a.m. Feb. 18 at the Museum of the Oregon Territory, 211 Tumwater
Drive, Oregon City, Ore., to consider non-treaty sport and
commercial fisheries for white sturgeon and spring chinook salmon.
The Compact sets mainstem commercial fisheries.
-----------------------
* States Likely To Reduce Lower Columbia White Sturgeon Harvest By
35-45 Percent
It is expected that the states of Oregon and Washington will
decide next week on a white sturgeon harvest reduction on the
lower Columbia River mainstem of 35 to 45 percent over recent
years' allocations.
The Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission last Friday (Feb. 5)
affirmed the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife staff
recommendation that the lower Columbia white allocation or
"guideline" be cut by 35 percent in 2010.
Meanwhile, the Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission during its
Feb. 4-6 meeting in Olympia adopted a new management policy that
would reduce the harvest of Columbia River white sturgeon by "up
to" 45 percent this year. The nine-member citizen panel is
appointed by the governor, sets policy for the Washington
Department of Fish and Wildlife. The OFWC sets policy for the ODFW.
Ultimately the ODFW and WDFW directors and/or their
representatives will decide the depth of the cut. The state
co-manage sport and commercial harvest on the mainstem where the
Columbia makes up their border.
The WFWC wanted a steeper cutback but "they realized that the
director needed the flexibility" to find common ground in talks
with Oregon, the WDFW's Cindy LeFleur said of the panel's decision
to use "up to 45 percent" language in the new policy. ODFW and
WDFW staffs have already reached a tentative compromise
recommendation for their directors.
But they also continue to take input. A public meeting was held
Thursday in Vancouver to discuss the development of this year's
sport fishing regulations for Columbia River sturgeon.
Oregon and Washington fishery managers discussed recent declines
in the Columbia River white sturgeon population and management
options under consideration for the 2010 fishing season.
Topics for discussion will include the proposed reductions in
catch guidelines, new ways to protect spawning sturgeon and
scenarios for sport fishing seasons.
Fishery managers will consider public comments received at the
meeting when they convene to set sturgeon-fishing regulations for
the remainder of 2010 at a bi-state public hearing scheduled Feb.
18 in Oregon City.
The Columbia River white sturgeon population has declined
significantly in recent years, according to monitoring data from
both states. Trends show the 2008 abundance estimate of 97,000
legal-size (38- to 54-inch fork length) white sturgeon is a 28
percent less than the 2007 estimate, though it and follows a
period of relatively stable abundance during the 1998-2007 period.
Fisheries managers have also noted that the catch per angler trip
of sub-legal (less than 42 inches long) white sturgeon has
decreased annually since 2004.
"By 2008, catch per angler trip of sublegal-size fish had dropped
to half of the 1996-2006 average catch per angler trip," according
to a Dec. 7 joint staff report.
Sea lion predation below Bonneville Dam is suspected as one of the
causes of the population drop. Estimated consumption of white
sturgeon in the small area below Bonneville Dam has increased from
413 fish in 2006 to 1,710 fish in 2009, according to observation
data compiled by the U.S. Corps of Engineers.
The ODFW and WDFW staffs have recommended that the combined
sport-commercial white sturgeon harvest guideline be reduced from
the allowable harvest of the past three years of 40,000 sturgeon
below Bonneville (36,800 were actually harvested last year). That
allocation has been split with 32,000 allocated to sport fishers
and 8,000 allocated to the commercial gillnet fleet.
ODFW staff proposal adopted last week included several other
changes to the white sturgeon fishing seasons on the Columbia and
on the Willamette River in response to recent declines in sturgeon
populations. These changes include:
-- expanding the spawning sanctuary below Bonneville Dam into
August;
-- establishment of a spawning sanctuary on the Willamette River
from Willamette Falls to the Interstate 205 Bridge between
Portland, Ore., and Vancouver, Wash., and
-- creation of a separate sturgeon harvest quota for the
Willamette River.
The OFWC also directed staff to develop the necessary rules for
closing the "Wall" fishery on the Willamette River in Oregon City.
This location requires anglers to land and release sturgeon from
atop a 45 to 60-foot concrete wall, raising concerns about the
subsequent injury to the fish that are released.
"We do not like closing down opportunities, especially bank
fishing opportunities on the Willamette," said Steve Williams,
ODFW assistant administrator for the fish division. "However, we
have explored every option and there's just no way to fix this
site to allow for the safe release of fish."
Instead, anglers will be encouraged to take advantage of other
nearby bank fisheries at Meldrum Bar, Oak Grove, Milwaukie and a
catwalk on the river that will be renovated this summer.
The sport season for white sturgeon in lower Columbia River from
Buoy 10 to the Wauna power lines (located about 20 miles upstream
of the river mouth) opened Jan. 1 seven days per week with a daily
limit of one fish between 38 and 54 inches (fork length) and an
annual limit of five sturgeon.
The Columbia River between Wauna power lines and Bonneville Dam at
river mile 146 is open to the retention of white sturgeon three
days per week (Thursday, Friday, and Saturday) during Jan. 1-July
31 with a daily limit of one sturgeon between 38 and 54 inches
(fork length) and an annual limit of five sturgeon.
The sport allocation is split with 60 percent (19,200 fish) for
fisheries below the Wauna powerlines (estuary) and 40 percent
(12,800 fish) for fisheries above the Wauna powerlines.
Sturgeon angling on the lower Columbia has been very slow, the
agencies report. During January 2010, sturgeon anglers on the
lower Columbia made 1,700 trips and kept 25 white sturgeon.
For more information about future WFWC meetings, visit WDFW's
website at
http://wdfw.wa.gov/commission/meetings.html .
-----------------------
* Low Snowpack Makes Experimental Spill For Sturgeon At Libby Dam
Uncertain
Plans for an experimental water spill from Montana's Libby Dam to
help Kootenai River white sturgeon this spring now are uncertain
because of below-average mountain snowpack above the dam.
Snowpack in the Kootenai River Basin is 71 percent of average and
well below last year's snowpack at this time of year.
The streamflow forecast for the Kootenai River Basin, which is
based on receiving average precipitation over the next few months,
is just 66 percent of average from April through July.
How the rest of the winter plays out will determine whether the
planned spill will proceed, said Brian Marotz, a fisheries program
manager for Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks who coordinates with
other agencies on dam operations.
"It could go either way, but there's definitely a relationship
between water availability and the ability to do a [spill] test,"
Marotz said.
With eroding water supply forecasts, he said, "just meeting the
minimum flows in the Kootenai River is going to make it very
difficult to refill" Lake Koocanusa over the next few months.
And refilling the reservoir is crucial to proceeding with a spill.
"The surface elevation of the reservoir needs to be high enough
that you can physically use the spillway," Marotz said.
A spill operation must also meet other criteria to have a
meaningful chance of encouraging white sturgeon to move into the
best spawning areas just upstream from Bonners Ferry, Idaho.
Adult sturgeon need to be in the right place in the river and the
correct temperatures of water need to be available to release
through the dam's selective withdrawal system at the right time.
"That's a lot of stuff," said Marotz, a member of an interagency
white sturgeon recovery team.
For years, the state of Montana has resisted releasing water over
the dam's spillway because it can result in gases that are harmful
to native fish populations, and those higher gas levels exceed
Montana's water quality standards.
The state agreed to a legal settlement, however, that allowed for
spills to determine if higher flows improve sturgeon spawning
success. For that to happen, Marotz said, the Montana Department
of Environmental Quality will draft an unprecedented waiver of the
state's water quality standards -- with conditions.
The waiver will specify maximum gas saturation levels in the river
and where those levels will be measured. It limits the spill to a
range of 5,000 cubic feet per second up to 10,000 cfs, in addition
to releasing water through the dam's turbines at maximum capacity,
about 25,000 cfs.
The outlook for a spring spill could change "if we suddenly get a
bunch of precipitation," Marotz said. "We'll know by June."
------------------------------
* British Columbia Says No To Mining, Oil, Gas Development In
Flathead Valley
The lieutenant governor of British Columbia announced Tuesday that
all types of mining and oil and gas development "will not be
permitted" in the province's portion of the Flathead Valley.
It was news that was well received in Montana. "It's pretty
significant," said Dave Hadden of the conservation group
Headwaters Montana.
The announcement came during the "Throne Speech," an annual
address that identifies the provincial priorities for the coming
year.
"A new partnership with Montana will sustain the environmental
values in the Flathead River Basin in a manner consistent with
current forestry, recreation, guide outfitting and trapping uses,"
British Columbia Lt. Gov. Steven Point said.
"Mining, oil and gas development and coalbed gas extraction will
not be permitted in British Columbia's Flathead Valley."
Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer said Tuesday he will sign a
comprehensive "memorandum of understanding" with British Columbia
Premier Gordon Campbell next week in Vancouver, B.C. That document
will halt ongoing exploration work and prohibit future
development.
Schweitzer said the agreement was the result of five years of
mostly quiet and often-delicate negotiations aimed at limiting
development in the river drainage just north of Glacier National
Park.
"We've agreed there will be no gold mining, no coal-bed methane
and no coal mining in the Flathead on the Canadian side,"
Schweitzer said.
Companies with money already invested in leases or exploration
could be compensated through the Canadian and U.S. governments,
Schweitzer said, although details have not been worked out.
He credited the breakthrough to "a bold move by Premier Campbell."
Schweitzer added: "I can say of all of the things I've managed to
accomplish, there's none I'm more proud of."
Since the 1980s, Montana has resisted a series of proposals for
mining and oil and gas development in the Canadian Flathead,
largely because the basin's waters flow south into the North Fork
Flathead drainage, along the west boundary of Glacier Park and
into Flathead Lake.
There are concerns over pollution along with impacts on fish and
wildlife.
"People in the Flathead Valley place a very high value on Glacier
Park and clean water," Hadden said. "The B.C. government
announcement represents an important opportunity for Montanans to
work with B.C. to protect the entire North Fork Flathead
watershed, including unfinished conservation on the U.S. side of
the border."
Several years ago, the B.C. provincial government imposed a
moratorium on coal mining in the lower third of the Canadian
Flathead, but that was regarded as a temporary, stopgap
protection, Hadden said.
"This a higher-level announcement," he said. "This is B.C.
responding to their own constituents as well as to the concerns of
the international community."
Other Montana conservation groups applauded Point's remarks.
"As the world's first international peace park, Waterton-Glacier
is more than just a national park," said Will Hammerquist, Glacier
program manager for the National Parks Conservation Association.
"It is an icon of international cooperation, peace between
nations, and the special relationship between Canada and the
United States. Today's announcement honors this vision and is an
opportunity to begin a new era of transboundary cooperation in the
Flathead Valley and surrounding Crown of the Continent ecosystem."
According to Tim Preso, staff attorney for the law firm
Earthjustice, "Today's announcement marks an important step
forward to protect the undeveloped, low-elevation valley in
southern Canada, where grizzly bears, lynx and wolverines still
roam beside pure water that nurture native trout. We are pleased
that British Columbia now recognizes what the U.N. World Heritage
Committee recently reaffirmed: The wild Flathead Valley is a
treasure more precious than coal or gold."
Schweitzer summed it up:
"It's a great day for British Columbia, Montana, Canada, the
United States and the entire world that reveres the Crown of the
Continent."
The state's two U.S. senators, Democrats Jon Tester and Max
Baucus, welcomed the mining ban. They earlier asked Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton and other federal officials to put
diplomatic pressure on Canada to stop development.
A Canadian mining industry representative told the Associated
Press the government would be asked to reconsider but acknowledged
the chances of a reversal appear low.
Gavin Dirom, president of the British Columbia Association of
Mineral Exploration, blamed U.S. interests for meddling in
Canadian politics and pushing through a ban that will hurt the
province's economy.
"We feel like we were bullied," Dirom said.
*******************************
For more information about the CBB contact:
-- BILL CRAMPTON, Editor/Writer,
bcrampton@cbbulletin.com,
phone:
541-312-8860 or
-- BARRY ESPENSON, Senior Writer,
bespenson@msn.com, phone:
360-696-4005; fax: 360-694-1530
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