The Northwest Power and
Conservation Council is seeking public comments on a proposed
standard for future electricity supplies that should serve as
an early warning about the potential for future shortages in
the Northwest.The standard was developed over the last two
and a half years by the Pacific Northwest Resource Adequacy
Forum, a committee of electricity suppliers and regulators
created by the Power Council and the Bonneville Power
Administration.
"The standard will help ensure the Northwest continues to
enjoy an adequate and reliable electricity supply," Council
Chair Bill Booth said. "The standard will serve as a sort of
early-warning system to assess whether the power supply is
adequate in a physical sense. While compliance is not
mandatory, the existence of a standard should not encourage
complacency, either. For the long term, the question remains:
How much new power generation should be built?"
The standard is published in a paper, A Resource Adequacy
Standard for the Northwest, which is available on the
Council's website, www.nwcouncil.org, as Document 2008-01. The
comment deadline is Friday, March 7.
The proposed standard is based on an analytical assessment
of the likelihood of a regional power failure. The regional
standard includes two broad categories, one for regional
energy and one for regional capacity. Under the standard,
energy is the average electricity production over a year, and
capacity is the maximum amount of power that can be produced
during a during a multiple-hour period of high demand (such as
a cold snap or heat wave).
The proposed standard for energy is that regional
electricity generation matches the demand for power on an
annual basis. The proposed standard for capacity is a
measurement of excess available power during periods of
highest demand. In winter, the proposed standard would be 23
percent above the anticipated peak, and in summer the reserve
should be 24 percent.
The standard assumes that power supplied by independent
producers in the Northwest could be sold to Northwest
utilities -- that is, power not already committed to utilities
outside the region. The Resource Adequacy Forum also made
clear that the proposed standard is for the entire Northwest
power supply, not necessarily for individual utilities within
the region. Some currently have an electricity surplus and
others do not.
The Council will vote to adopt the regional adequacy
standard for its own power planning process at its next
meeting in March. The Council believes the standard can
provide useful information for utilities and public entities
in the region that are in the process of planning for future
electricity resources. The standard is also expected to be
considered in West-wide adequacy assessments conducted by the
Western Electricity Coordinating Council.
The Council is an agency of the states of Idaho, Montana,
Oregon, and Washington and is directed by the Northwest Power
Act of 1980 to prepare a program to protect, mitigate and
enhance the fish and wildlife of the Columbia River Basin
affected by hydropower dams while also assuring the region an
adequate,